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近日，我院2023级博士生张诚与韩青教授（通讯作者）在国际期刊Review of Development Economics发表题为“Understanding the Effect of Agricultural Irrigation Infrastructure Failures on Cropland Abandonment in Rural China”的文章。我院薛莉副教授、山东社会科学院陈景帅助理研究员为共同作者。该研究得到国家自然科学基金项目（72273140）资助。
Review of Development Economics：Wiley出版社旗下国际学术期刊，聚焦于发展经济学领域研究成果，收录于SSCI数据库，2024年发文量为97篇。
英文摘要：
Emerging failures in agricultural irrigation infrastructure (AII) are further exacerbating cropland abandonment worldwide. However, the mechanisms and solutions to these challenges are not well understood. This study investigates the impact of AII failures on cropland abandonment and its underlying mechanisms in rural China. We further evaluate the effect and applicable conditions of typical maintenance patterns in addressing AII failures. Using the China Labor-force Dynamic Survey from 2014 to 2018 and benchmark regression (IV-based models), we find that AII failures increase the likelihood of farmer abandonment decisions (AD) by 7.4% (38.9%), raising abandonment percentage (AP) by 5.2% (22.3%). This effect is stronger in regions with plain, high community harmony and rice farming. We attribute this negative impact to the stunted growth of land rental and agricultural services markets due to AII failures. Encouragingly, both centralized and individual maintenances are effective in inhibiting AII failures. Villages with higher financial revenue and less rural labor are more suited to centralized maintenance, reducing AII failures by 70.9%. In contrast, individual maintenance is more effective and can reduce failures by 69%. The research clarifies the market mechanisms between AII failures and cropland abandonment and highlights the importance of sound AII to agricultural sustainable development.
文章概述：
农业灌溉设施失灵正加剧全球耕地撂荒，但其作用机制与应对之策尚不明确。本研究基于2014年-2018年中国劳动力动态调查（CLDS）数据，结合理论分析与实证研究，探讨中国农村地区的农业灌溉设施失灵对耕地撂荒的影响效应、作用机制、优化策略（典型管护模式）及其适用范围。结果表明：农业灌溉设施失灵是加剧农户撂荒概率与之面积的核心诱因。这一负面影响主要源自设施失灵下的土地流转市场与农业服务市场的不完全发育。与之相关的集中管护与个体管护模式均能有效缓解农业灌溉设施的失灵状况，但两种模式于不同情境下发挥着异质效用。其中，村级财政收入水平与剩余农村劳动力数量是指导村庄采纳集中管护抑或个体管护的关键指标。综上，本研究旨从农业要素市场发育视角揭示农业灌溉设施失灵加剧农户撂荒行为的作用路径，并强调因地制宜推动农业灌溉设施维护的重要性。
引用来源：Zhang, C., J. Chen, L. Xue, and Q. Han. 2025. “Understanding the Effect of Agricultural Irrigation Infrastructure Failures on Cropland Abandonment in Rural China.” Review of Development Economics 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.70018.